Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000041 0.000075
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000047 0.000091
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000029 0.000055 0.000117
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000062 0.000141
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000070 0.000172
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000078 0.000207
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037 0.000086 0.000250
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000096 0.000301
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000108 0.000373
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000043 0.000122 0.000460
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000129 0.000524
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000140 0.000622
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000150 0.000723
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000166 0.000880
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000052 0.000194 0.001161
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000054 0.000213 0.001411
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000058 0.000239 0.001767